Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001493 0.001667 0.001843 0.002032 0.002230 0.002431 0.002649
2025-02-23 0.001159 0.001403 0.001657 0.001939 0.002243 0.002558 0.002907
2025-03-02 0.000903 0.001192 0.001505 0.001863 0.002257 0.002674 0.003144
2025-03-09 0.000703 0.001022 0.001381 0.001803 0.002278 0.002789 0.003376
2025-03-16 0.000555 0.000895 0.001292 0.001773 0.002325 0.002928 0.003628
2025-03-23 0.000480 0.000847 0.001289 0.001835 0.002472 0.003176 0.004000
2025-03-30 0.000392 0.000770 0.001245 0.001845 0.002556 0.003350 0.004287
2025-04-06 0.000331 0.000724 0.001232 0.001888 0.002675 0.003562 0.004615
2025-04-13 0.000296 0.000707 0.001254 0.001970 0.002838 0.003823 0.004998
2025-04-20 0.000212 0.000607 0.001161 0.001907 0.002825 0.003879 0.005147
2025-04-27 0.000141 0.000511 0.001066 0.001834 0.002796 0.003912 0.005266
2025-05-04 0.000118 0.000492 0.001073 0.001890 0.002922 0.004125 0.005590
2025-05-11 0.000069 0.000423 0.001020 0.001887 0.003002 0.004315 0.005926
2025-05-18 0.000023 0.000326 0.000915 0.001811 0.002990 0.004398 0.006141
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000246 0.000823 0.001746 0.002989 0.004493 0.006371
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000181 0.000745 0.001693 0.003000 0.004602 0.006617
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000136 0.000689 0.001668 0.003044 0.004750 0.006908
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000121 0.000693 0.001731 0.003205 0.005041 0.007371
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000095 0.000664 0.001743 0.003296 0.005243 0.007727
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000080 0.000657 0.001786 0.003428 0.005498 0.008146
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000074 0.000675 0.001867 0.003611 0.005815 0.008640
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000043 0.000606 0.001806 0.003598 0.005886 0.008835
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000019 0.000536 0.001735 0.003568 0.005932 0.008998